© Artyom Geodakyan/TASS
MOSCOW, may 26. /TASS/. The number of economically active population of Russia by 2020 will shrink by 1 million people, and the working-age population by 3 million, according to the macroeconomic forecast of Ministry of economic development prepared the amendments to the budget in 2017.
As noted in the materials, the labor market in the medium term will largely be determined by demographic trends.
The positive effect of increasing economic activity in individual age groups, for example, okolovenoznoe age, will be offset by the reduction of the population of working age.
“As a result, in the medium term the labour force will decrease from 72.7 million in 2016 to 71.7 million people in 2020 (population in working age from 83.7 million to 80.6 million people)”, – stated in the documents.
The materials also notes that wages in the private sector of the economy by 2020 is expected to grow by 5.4% . The rate of growth of real wages in the private sector in 2018-2020 will remain at potential growth of the economy, believe in the Department.
Taking into account the dynamics of inflation, real wages in the economy this year would grow by 1.3%, and in 2018 due to the target categories of public sector growth may accelerate to 2.7%, predicts the Ministry of economic development. “In General, for 2018-2020 in terms of the underlying option real wages in the economy will increase by 5.4%”, – stated in the materials Department.
In the part of the pension base case increase of a pension insurance at least once a year, on the basis of growth of consumer prices over the past year. “In General, over the 2017-2020 years the average size of pension pensioners will grow by 18.3%,” – noted in the document.